Thursday, 24 September 2026Lusaka, Zambia
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Monthly Brief: Inflation Cools, But the Food Basket Tells a Different Story

Headline inflation eased again this month. Strip out food and the picture is less comfortable.

Monthly Brief: Inflation Cools, But the Food Basket Tells a Different Story

Headline inflation eased for a third straight month, continuing a slow descent from the double-digit readings that defined the previous two years. The direction of travel is right. The composition is the part worth arguing about.


KSJ Data

Headline inflation, month by month

Year-on-year change in the all-items consumer price index

0102030402021202220232024202520266.26.06.6

InflationFood InflationNon-Food Inflation
Show the numbers
MonthInflation (%)Food Inflation (%)Non-Food Inflation (%)
Aug 20266.26.06.6
Jul 20266.56.46.7
Jun 20266.56.76.0
May 20266.66.96.1
Apr 20266.87.36.0
Mar 20267.17.85.9
Feb 20267.58.26.5
Jan 20269.410.97.3
Dec 202511.212.98.7
Nov 202510.913.96.6
Oct 202511.914.18.7
Sep 202512.314.69.0
Aug 202512.614.99.3
Jul 202513.015.39.7
Jun 202514.116.710.3
May 202515.317.911.6
Apr 202516.518.713.4
Mar 202516.820.611.7
Jan 202516.719.213.2
Dec 202416.718.614.2
Nov 202416.518.214.1
Oct 202415.718.212.2
Sep 202415.617.912.4
Aug 202415.517.612.5
Jul 202415.417.412.6
Jun 202415.216.813.0
May 202414.716.212.7
Apr 202413.815.711.2
Mar 202413.715.611.2
Feb 202413.514.112.7
Jan 202413.213.712.4
Dec 202313.114.211.6
Nov 202312.913.711.8
Oct 202312.613.611.3
Sep 202312.013.410.1
Aug 202310.812.68.5
Jul 202310.312.17.8
Jun 20239.811.27.8
May 20239.911.67.6
Apr 202310.211.68.3
Mar 20239.911.87.3
Feb 20239.611.66.9
Jan 20239.411.66.4
Dec 20229.911.97.3
Nov 20229.812.16.7
Oct 20229.712.26.5
Sep 20229.912.17.2
Aug 20229.811.37.8
Jul 20229.912.07.2
Jun 20229.711.96.9
May 202210.212.37.5
Apr 202211.514.18.2
Mar 202213.115.310.3
Feb 202214.216.011.8
Jan 202215.116.912.7
Dec 202116.419.912.1
Nov 202119.325.412.2
Oct 202121.128.113.2
Sep 202122.129.613.6
Aug 202124.431.616.3
Jul 202124.631.217.0
Jun 202124.631.217.1
May 202123.228.517.1
Apr 202122.727.217.5
Mar 202122.827.817.0
Feb 202122.227.316.2
Jan 202121.525.616.7

Food and non-food are shown alongside the headline rate to make clear which basket is doing the work.

Source: Zambia Statistics Agency. Data to Aug 2026. Explore the data

The food basket, which carries the heaviest weight in the Zambian consumer price index and the heaviest weight in most household budgets, has been the swing factor throughout. When food inflation moves, the headline follows within a month or two; non-food inflation has been comparatively inert.

What to watch next

Three things will decide whether this is a trend or a pause: the maize price through the marketing season, the pass-through from the exchange rate into imported goods, and whether the Bank of Zambia treats the recent readings as durable enough to stop tightening.

Charts in KSJ analysis are drawn live from our economic database, so the figures above update with every new monthly release rather than freezing on the day of publication.

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